Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 81.047246 90.763737 100.657986 111.455802 122.877395 134.570635 147.418226
2025-10-19 65.735249 79.728494 94.577613 111.381178 129.748010 149.104775 170.940378
2025-10-26 55.910523 72.183628 90.001963 110.700075 133.841042 158.702001 187.223145
2025-11-02 49.117282 67.090753 87.321659 111.347445 138.708944 168.554804 203.243610
2025-11-09 42.759692 61.792306 83.800640 110.486238 141.392708 175.565098 215.736131
2025-11-16 37.967953 57.877630 81.482400 110.640919 144.909860 183.239544 228.727793
2025-11-23 33.242901 53.613559 78.395533 109.581510 146.759245 188.802162 239.144024
2025-11-30 30.319259 51.368379 77.546766 111.000657 151.345076 197.370146 252.867352
2025-12-07 27.873840 49.531536 77.036319 112.687611 156.133252 206.084246 266.687909
2025-12-14 24.538622 46.219502 74.451105 111.652277 157.528100 210.736002 275.733571
2025-12-21 21.175556 42.578425 71.221552 109.629122 157.578502 213.688604 282.704290
2025-12-28 20.380418 42.552556 72.687368 113.484402 164.756095 225.039397 299.457931
2026-01-04 19.041979 41.646921 72.950791 115.815309 170.105448 234.289912 313.856330
2026-01-11 16.813186 39.206064 71.010601 115.216791 171.771242 239.104290 323.017072
2026-01-18 14.805712 36.919556 69.148072 114.610513 173.341182 243.737242 331.908983
2026-01-25 13.365674 35.415367 68.290156 115.255722 176.428060 250.162804 342.900226
2026-02-01 11.633638 33.242534 66.359371 114.380099 177.521803 254.118485 350.908811
2026-02-08 10.339674 31.694522 65.246607 114.537401 179.879917 259.579208 360.690498
2026-02-15 8.869185 29.650027 63.287422 113.457158 180.586094 262.968427 367.948468
2026-02-22 8.111401 28.872992 63.189789 114.904278 184.533721 270.334340 379.991380
2026-03-01 7.473188 28.261933 63.307335 116.624299 188.820211 278.111722 392.531081
2026-03-08 6.334637 26.468118 61.492485 115.568698 189.430768 281.293910 399.475760
2026-03-15 5.141142 24.343146 59.030412 113.505700 188.647835 282.688504 404.205340